Lower The p-Value (John 20:30-31)

Over 96% of all peer-reviewed medical articles report a p-value of < 0.05. This value is generally interpreted that greater than 95% of the results proposed by a research article are likely to be statistically significant, or viewed from another angle, there is less than a 5% chance the results occurred randomly and by chance. It is a time-honored statistical threshold and there is a growing movement to debunk it.

 

Critics have cast aspersions that the p-values are subject to misinterpretation and overtrust. A better or lower p-value does not guarantee that all facts or potential biases were correctly reported. With some papers, the researchers may not have included results which could have raised the p-value, not reaching the critical threshold.

 

Recently a group of scientists has proposed lowering the p-value threshold for statistical significance from 0.05 to 0.005. In other words, if this new threshold is implemented, the results of a paper would have a greater than 99.5% likelihood of statistical significance. This action would shift one-third of past medical literature findings from significant to merely suggestive. Needless to say, this proposal is not universally embraced and detractors state that many important therapeutic articles may be dismissed with this new threshold. Critics contend that there are other statistical tests that could be used alone or in combination to replace or augment p-value testing.

 

At the heart of the issue are transparency and reproducibility. If the premise behind any paper is disingenuous or biased toward a certain result, more rigorous statistical thresholds will not correct the misinterpretations. If researchers withhold or delete data that does not support their hypothesis, a low p-value with statistical significance can be achieved. While this may lead to acceptance and publication of their results, later attempts to reproduce the research will likely lead to failure due to the flawed premise.

 

Now Jesus did many other signs in the presence of the disciples, which are not written in this book; but these are written so that you may believe that Jesus is the Christ, the Son of God, and that by believing you may have life in his name.

John 20:30-31 (ESV)

 

The Gospel of John elegantly presents seven miracles performed by Jesus Christ, not written in a chronological sequence of events like the other three Gospels. The Apostle John, guided by the Holy Spirit, wrote the Gospel to encourage seekers and unbelievers to believe in Jesus Christ as the Son of God. It was a divinely selected set of Jesus’ miracles with an explicitly stated purpose and bias. This is the total transparency of the Gospel. John then invites all readers to believe in Jesus Christ and accept Him as their Lord and Savior. In so doing, they will have eternal life in His Name. This is the reproducibility of the Gospel. Read the Gospel of John, consider the claims of Jesus Christ, and accept Him as your Lord and Savior. There is absolutely no randomness or chance associations. The p-value is 0!

 

Jesus Christ.

 

There is a 100% likelihood that He is God and the only path to salvation and eternal life!

 

Love and trust the Lord; seek His will in your life.

 

 

 

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